Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 43.886217 50.877121 58.109204 66.112030 74.683842 83.556815 93.403369
2026-02-08 33.147946 42.947649 53.654137 66.059652 79.891376 94.709813 111.661644
2026-02-15 26.315282 37.403908 50.057541 65.227877 82.622253 101.686439 123.919247
2026-02-22 22.149875 34.233810 48.556114 66.214716 86.911297 109.988104 137.283036
2026-03-01 19.047617 31.874230 47.614606 67.500844 91.240964 118.084427 150.192919
2026-03-08 15.547654 28.542511 45.125112 66.628680 92.790825 122.791226 159.073880
2026-03-15 12.390549 25.240338 42.343771 65.120711 93.353535 126.166583 166.263776
2026-03-22 11.369605 24.796569 43.151677 67.992085 99.121573 135.582011 180.398217
2026-03-29 10.021112 23.690170 42.956358 69.497009 103.152123 142.895443 192.048227
2026-04-05 8.200443 21.603406 41.256142 68.930276 104.524645 146.967521 199.836929
2026-04-12 6.653624 19.717175 39.674149 68.392013 105.834794 150.890378 207.388943
2026-04-19 5.565126 18.439248 38.850975 68.777391 108.244451 156.094599 216.424156
2026-04-26 4.368806 16.757979 37.330231 68.166797 109.373415 159.760506 223.676364
2026-05-03 3.461687 15.445450 36.259100 68.099741 111.153168 164.195507 231.837064
2026-05-10 2.565584 13.908752 34.702457 67.256430 111.851147 167.242006 238.281360
2026-05-17 2.098830 13.239687 34.477526 68.259458 114.942121 173.239671 248.285862
2026-05-24 1.738894 12.739072 34.484676 69.567185 118.418276 179.708491 258.859711
2026-05-31 1.180391 11.442869 33.034976 68.680435 118.920421 182.415062 264.821684
2026-06-07 0.692523 10.016442 31.213310 67.147070 118.484402 183.889003 269.234900
2026-06-14 0.643786 10.221163 32.351241 70.066582 124.092585 193.029931 283.079531
2026-06-21 0.502872 9.950979 32.582622 71.596369 127.800080 199.753725 293.950906
2026-06-28 0.275002 9.009853 31.468984 71.020301 128.592478 202.740610 300.196570
2026-07-05 0.122812 8.143784 30.409885 70.473141 129.387341 205.705211 306.396166